Will Austria win the World Cup 2026?
Austria — 0.2% to win
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Austria a 0.2% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Austria(FIFA #24, UEFA) against every other contender.
Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.
FAQ · Austria at World Cup 2026
Will Austria win the World Cup 2026?
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Austria a 0.2% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #19 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.
How far will Austria go at the World Cup 2026?
Austria reaches the Round of 16 26% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 3%, and the final 0.9%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Austria (FIFA #24, UEFA) against the rest of the field.
What is Austria's rank in the Onside model?
Austria sits #19 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.
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