Will Belgium win the World Cup 2026?
Belgium — 5.7% to win
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Belgium a 5.7% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Belgium(FIFA #9, UEFA) against every other contender.
Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.
FAQ · Belgium at World Cup 2026
Will Belgium win the World Cup 2026?
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Belgium a 5.7% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #6 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.
How far will Belgium go at the World Cup 2026?
Belgium reaches the Round of 16 72% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 28%, and the final 13.1%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Belgium (FIFA #9, UEFA) against the rest of the field.
What is Belgium's rank in the Onside model?
Belgium sits #6 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.
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