QUICK ANSWER

Will Colombia win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Colombia a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — currently ranked #16 of 48 by champion probability. The team reaches the Round of 16 in 67% of simulations, the semi-finals in 12%, and the final in 3.9%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model (rating Colombia at FIFA #13, CONMEBOL). Probabilities refresh hourly as group-stage results land.
WILL COLOMBIA WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #16 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #13CONMEBOL

Colombia0.0% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Colombia a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Colombia(FIFA #13, CONMEBOL) against every other contender.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

COLOMBIA'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
67%
QF
26%
SF
12%
FINAL
3.9%
CHAMPION
0.0%
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FAQ · Colombia at World Cup 2026

Will Colombia win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Colombia a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #16 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.

How far will Colombia go at the World Cup 2026?

Colombia reaches the Round of 16 67% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 12%, and the final 3.9%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Colombia (FIFA #13, CONMEBOL) against the rest of the field.

What is Colombia's rank in the Onside model?

Colombia sits #16 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.

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