Will Germany win the World Cup 2026?
Germany — 0.0% to win
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Germany a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Germany(FIFA #10, UEFA) against every other contender.
Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.
FAQ · Germany at World Cup 2026
Will Germany win the World Cup 2026?
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Germany a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #14 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.
How far will Germany go at the World Cup 2026?
Germany reaches the Round of 16 64% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 20%, and the final 9.7%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Germany (FIFA #10, UEFA) against the rest of the field.
What is Germany's rank in the Onside model?
Germany sits #14 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.
Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores
Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.
Start picking →Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.