Will Morocco win the World Cup 2026?
Morocco — 1.8% to win
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Morocco a 1.8% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Morocco(FIFA #8, CAF) against every other contender.
Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.
FAQ · Morocco at World Cup 2026
Will Morocco win the World Cup 2026?
Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Morocco a 1.8% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #9 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.
How far will Morocco go at the World Cup 2026?
Morocco reaches the Round of 16 82% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 12%, and the final 4.1%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Morocco (FIFA #8, CAF) against the rest of the field.
What is Morocco's rank in the Onside model?
Morocco sits #9 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.
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