QUICK ANSWER

Will Türkiye win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Türkiye a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — currently ranked #32 of 48 by champion probability. The team reaches the Round of 16 in 0% of simulations, the semi-finals in 0%, and the final in 0.0%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model (rating Türkiye at FIFA #22, UEFA). Probabilities refresh hourly as group-stage results land.
WILL TÜRKIYE WIN WORLD CUP 2026?
RANK #32 OF 48 BY MODELFIFA #22UEFA

Türkiye0.0% to win

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Türkiye a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026. Onside's calibrated team-strength model rates Türkiye(FIFA #22, UEFA) against every other contender.

Probability updates hourly as group-stage results land. Share this card to X / Reddit / WhatsApp below.

TÜRKIYE'S TOURNAMENT PATH
R16
0%
QF
0%
SF
0%
FINAL
0.0%
CHAMPION
0.0%
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FAQ · Türkiye at World Cup 2026

Will Türkiye win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator gives Türkiye a 0.0% probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2026 — ranked #32 of 48 by champion probability. The model re-runs hourly as group-stage results land.

How far will Türkiye go at the World Cup 2026?

Türkiye reaches the Round of 16 0% of the time in simulation, the semi-finals 0%, and the final 0.0%. These probabilities come from Onside's calibrated team-strength model, which rates Türkiye (FIFA #22, UEFA) against the rest of the field.

What is Türkiye's rank in the Onside model?

Türkiye sits #32 of 48 by Onside model champion probability — based on Onside's calibrated team-strength model.

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