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Ecuador at the World Cup 2026 — squad, group, fixtures & odds

Ecuador are competing at the 2026 World Cup in Group E, alongside Germany, Ivory Coast, Curaçao. Onside's model gives them 33% to reach the Round of 16 and 0.4% to win the trophy. Full schedule, projected XI, advance scenarios and Premier League players inside.
● GROUP STAGE COMPLETE

When does Ecuador play next?

Ecuador have completed their Group E fixtures. Knockout-round opponent depends on other group results — see the live bracket for the projected path.

FIFA #23 · GROUP E · SOUTH AMERICA

Ecuador

FIFA · #23ECUGROUP ESOUTH AMERICA

Ecuador are in the live-window cohort — group qualification isn't guaranteed, so each MD result swings their tournament arc materially.

ONSIDE AI · TOURNAMENT MODEL v5

CHAMPION PROBABILITY
0.4%
vs 47 OTHER NATIONS
0%17%
ECUADOR'S TOURNAMENT JOURNEY
ROUND OF 16
33%
QUARTER-FINAL
13%
SEMI-FINAL
4.7%
FINAL
1.4%
CHAMPION
0.4%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

E
Group
3
Group fixtures
1
PL stars

At the first 48-team World Cup, hosted across USA, Canada and Mexico from 11 June to 19 July 2026. Drawn in Group E with Germany, Ivory Coast, Curaçao.

THE GROUP

Ecuador vs the rest of Group E

FIFA ranks at draw time. Top two from the group advance directly to the Round of 32; the eight best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also progress.

ONSIDE INTELLIGENCE · POWERED BY THE ENGINE
PROVISIONALAI-MODELLED

Ecuador's tournament path — the fantasy angle

QUALIFY %
59%
to reach R32
GROUP xP
5.6
across 3 games
EXPECTED FINISH
#2 in group
WC FANTASY CAPTAIN(C)
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea
Highest projected impact in this squad
LIKELY SCORERGOAL
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea
Top attacking PL contributor
TOP 3 CONTRIBUTORS · PROJECTED PTS/90
1
Moisés Caicedo
5.3
VERDICTLive group — ~59% to advance. Moisés Caicedo the likely captaincy lever.
SHARE ECUADOR'S TOURNAMENT
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
GROUP RIVAL H2H · LIFETIME WC

Ecuador's ledger vs Group E

All-time World Cup meetings against this group's other three nations. The history that walks onto the pitch.

vs Germany
FIFA #10 · Group E
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Ivory Coast
FIFA #34 · Group E
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Curaçao
FIFA #82 · Group E
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
FIXTURE DIFFICULTY HEATMAP
CELL COLOUR = RANK DELTA

Ecuador's 3 group matches at a glance

Difficulty by pre-tournament FIFA rank delta. Acid means Ecuador is the favourite; amber is a coin-toss; red means the underdog. Switches to actual-result colour once each match is played.

MD1A
Ivory Coast
FIFA #34
+11 rank delta
Sun 14 Jun
MD2H
Curaçao
FIFA #82
+59 rank delta
Sun 21 Jun
MD3H
Germany
FIFA #10
-13 rank delta
Thu 25 Jun
2
Easy
1
Toss
0
Hard

Ecuador is FIFA #23. Group avg rank is #37 14 places stronger than the group mean.

FIXTURES

Ecuador's group-stage matches

MDDateUTCUKOpponent
1Sun 14 Jun23:0000:00
2Sun 21 Jun00:0001:00
3Thu 25 Jun20:0021:00
THE PL × WC FUNNEL

1 Premier League player representing Ecuador

Track these names — their tournament minutes shape your FPL 2026/27 GW1 captaincy shortlist. 1 from Chelsea alone.

Chelsea
1
Moisés Caicedo~

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting where the squad wasn't formally announced.

FPL ANGLE

Why Ecuador's tournament matters for FPL 2026/27

Ecuador's 1 PL player will play 3 group matches before the FPL deadline locks. Watch for minutes, form, and tactical fit at international level — the strongest available signal before pre-season friendlies start.

WORLD CUP FANTASY · ECUADOR

Pick Ecuador stars in FIFA World Cup Fantasy

Use the Onside captain / differential / value picks to assemble a Ecuador-heavy XI, then build it in the official FIFA game. In FIFA Fantasy, open the player list and filter by country = Ecuador to surface every eligible name.

Onside is not affiliated with FIFA. We publish picks; you play them in the official game.

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