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Norway at the World Cup 2026 — squad, group, fixtures & odds

Norway are competing at the 2026 World Cup in Group I, alongside France, Senegal, Iraq. Onside's model gives them 22% to reach the Round of 16 and 0.1% to win the trophy. Full schedule, projected XI, advance scenarios and Premier League players inside.
● GROUP STAGE COMPLETE

When does Norway play next?

Norway have completed their Group I fixtures. Knockout-round opponent depends on other group results — see the live bracket for the projected path.

FIFA #31 · GROUP I · EUROPE

Norway

FIFA · #31NORGROUP IEUROPE

Norway face an uphill arc in Group I — the model has them as outsiders. Tournament football has produced bigger upsets, but the maths say the work starts at MD1.

ONSIDE AI · TOURNAMENT MODEL v5

CHAMPION PROBABILITY
0.1%
vs 47 OTHER NATIONS
0%17%
NORWAY'S TOURNAMENT JOURNEY
ROUND OF 16
22%
QUARTER-FINAL
7.2%
SEMI-FINAL
1.5%
FINAL
0.3%
CHAMPION
0.1%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

I
Group
3
Group fixtures
7
PL stars

At the first 48-team World Cup, hosted across USA, Canada and Mexico from 11 June to 19 July 2026. Drawn in Group I with France, Senegal, Iraq.

THE GROUP

Norway vs the rest of Group I

FIFA ranks at draw time. Top two from the group advance directly to the Round of 32; the eight best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also progress.

ONSIDE INTELLIGENCE · POWERED BY THE ENGINE
AI-MODELLED

Norway's tournament path — the fantasy angle

QUALIFY %
33%
to reach R32
GROUP xP
3.8
across 3 games
EXPECTED FINISH
#3 in group
WC FANTASY CAPTAIN(C)
Erling Haaland
Man City
Highest projected impact in this squad
LIKELY SCORERGOAL
Erling Haaland
Man City
Top attacking PL contributor
DIFFERENTIALDIFF
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Crystal Palace
Lower-owned, upside play
TOP 3 CONTRIBUTORS · PROJECTED PTS/90
1
Erling Haaland
6.9
2
Martin Ødegaard
5.6
3
Oscar Bobb
5.6
VERDICTUnderdog path (~33%). Differential value if they pull a result; Jørgen Strand Larsen the upside play.
SHARE NORWAY'S TOURNAMENT
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
GROUP RIVAL H2H · LIFETIME WC

Norway's ledger vs Group I

All-time World Cup meetings against this group's other three nations. The history that walks onto the pitch.

vs France
FIFA #1 · Group I
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Senegal
FIFA #14 · Group I
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Iraq
FIFA #57 · Group I
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
FIXTURE DIFFICULTY HEATMAP
CELL COLOUR = RANK DELTA

Norway's 3 group matches at a glance

Difficulty by pre-tournament FIFA rank delta. Acid means Norway is the favourite; amber is a coin-toss; red means the underdog. Switches to actual-result colour once each match is played.

MD1A
Iraq
FIFA #57
+26 rank delta
Tue 16 Jun
MD2H
Senegal
FIFA #14
-17 rank delta
Tue 23 Jun
MD3H
France
FIFA #1
-30 rank delta
Fri 26 Jun
1
Easy
1
Toss
1
Hard

Norway is FIFA #31. Group avg rank is #26 5 places weaker than the group mean — uphill draw.

FIXTURES

Norway's group-stage matches

MDDateUTCUKOpponent
1Tue 16 Jun22:0023:00
2Tue 23 Jun00:0001:00
3Fri 26 Jun19:0020:00
THE PL × WC FUNNEL

7 Premier League players representing Norway

Track these names — their tournament minutes shape your FPL 2026/27 GW1 captaincy shortlist. 2 from Man City alone.

Man City
2
Erling Haaland
Oscar Bobb
Arsenal
1
Martin Ødegaard
Brentford
1
Kristoffer Ajer
Crystal Palace
1
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Fulham
1
Sander Berge
Wolves
1
David Møller Wolfe

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting where the squad wasn't formally announced.

FPL ANGLE

Why Norway's tournament matters for FPL 2026/27

Norway's 7 PL players will play 3 group matches before the FPL deadline locks. Watch for minutes, form, and tactical fit at international level — the strongest available signal before pre-season friendlies start.

WORLD CUP FANTASY · NORWAY

Pick Norway stars in FIFA World Cup Fantasy

Use the Onside captain / differential / value picks to assemble a Norway-heavy XI, then build it in the official FIFA game. In FIFA Fantasy, open the player list and filter by country = Norway to surface every eligible name.

Onside is not affiliated with FIFA. We publish picks; you play them in the official game.

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