QUICK ANSWER

United States at the World Cup 2026 — squad, group, fixtures & odds

United States are competing at the 2026 World Cup in Group D, alongside Türkiye, Australia, Paraguay. Onside's model gives them 67% to reach the Round of 16 and 3.3% to win the trophy. Full schedule, projected XI, advance scenarios and Premier League players inside.
● GROUP STAGE COMPLETE

When does United States play next?

United States have completed their Group D fixtures. Knockout-round opponent depends on other group results — see the live bracket for the projected path.

FIFA #16 · GROUP D · N. AMERICA

United States

FIFA · #16USAGROUP DN. AMERICA

United States carry comfortable expectations through Group D — the model has them safely into the round of 16, with their championship journey opening up from there.

ONSIDE AI · TOURNAMENT MODEL v5

CHAMPION PROBABILITY
3.3%
vs 47 OTHER NATIONS
0%17%
UNITED STATES'S TOURNAMENT JOURNEY
ROUND OF 16
67%
QUARTER-FINAL
34%
SEMI-FINAL
15%
FINAL
7.6%
CHAMPION
3.3%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

HOST NATION
D
Group
3
Group fixtures
4
PL stars

At the first 48-team World Cup, hosted across USA, Canada and Mexico from 11 June to 19 July 2026. Drawn in Group D with Türkiye, Australia, Paraguay.

THE GROUP

United States vs the rest of Group D

FIFA ranks at draw time. Top two from the group advance directly to the Round of 32; the eight best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also progress.

ONSIDE INTELLIGENCE · POWERED BY THE ENGINE
AI-MODELLED

United States's tournament path — the fantasy angle

QUALIFY %
72%
to reach R32
GROUP xP
6.1
across 3 games
EXPECTED FINISH
#1 in group
WC FANTASY CAPTAIN(C)
Tyler Adams
Bournemouth
Highest projected impact in this squad
LIKELY SCORERGOAL
Tyler Adams
Bournemouth
Top attacking PL contributor
DIFFERENTIALDIFF
Brenden Aaronson
Leeds
Lower-owned, upside play
TOP 3 CONTRIBUTORS · PROJECTED PTS/90
1
Tyler Adams
5.0
2
Brenden Aaronson
5.0
3
Chris Richards
4.0
VERDICTLive group — ~72% to advance. Tyler Adams the likely captaincy lever.
SHARE UNITED STATES'S TOURNAMENT
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
GROUP RIVAL H2H · LIFETIME WC

United States's ledger vs Group D

All-time World Cup meetings against this group's other three nations. The history that walks onto the pitch.

vs Türkiye
FIFA #22 · Group D
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Australia
FIFA #27 · Group D
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Paraguay
FIFA #40 · Group D
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
FIXTURE DIFFICULTY HEATMAP
CELL COLOUR = RANK DELTA

United States's 3 group matches at a glance

Difficulty by pre-tournament FIFA rank delta. Acid means United States is the favourite; amber is a coin-toss; red means the underdog. Switches to actual-result colour once each match is played.

MD1H
Paraguay
FIFA #40
+24 rank delta
Sat 13 Jun
MD2H
Australia
FIFA #27
+11 rank delta
Fri 19 Jun
MD3A
Türkiye
FIFA #22
+6 rank delta
Fri 26 Jun
3
Easy
0
Toss
0
Hard

United States is FIFA #16. Group avg rank is #26 10 places stronger than the group mean.

FIXTURES

United States's group-stage matches

MDDateUTCUKOpponent
1Sat 13 Jun01:0002:00
2Fri 19 Jun19:0020:00
3Fri 26 Jun02:0003:00
THE PL × WC FUNNEL

4 Premier League players representing United States

Track these names — their tournament minutes shape your FPL 2026/27 GW1 captaincy shortlist. 1 from Bournemouth alone.

Bournemouth
1
Tyler Adams
Crystal Palace
1
Chris Richards
Fulham
1
Antonee Robinson
Leeds
1
Brenden Aaronson

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting where the squad wasn't formally announced.

FPL ANGLE

Why United States's tournament matters for FPL 2026/27

United States's 4 PL players will play 3 group matches before the FPL deadline locks. Watch for minutes, form, and tactical fit at international level — the strongest available signal before pre-season friendlies start.

WORLD CUP FANTASY · UNITED STATES

Pick United States stars in FIFA World Cup Fantasy

Use the Onside captain / differential / value picks to assemble a United States-heavy XI, then build it in the official FIFA game. In FIFA Fantasy, open the player list and filter by country = United States to surface every eligible name.

Onside is not affiliated with FIFA. We publish picks; you play them in the official game.

EXPLORE OTHER GROUPS
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.