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United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives United States at 85% to win the Round of 32 clash between United States and Bosnia & Herzegovina. United States 85% · draw 10% · Bosnia & Herzegovina 5%. Match # 81 at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara.
ROUND OF 32 · MATCH 81
MODEL · USA 85%SANTA CLARA2 Jul UTC

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

UNITED STATES
85%
DRAW
10%
(then ET / pens)
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA
5%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
3.191.38
★ MODE
31
7.8%
21
7.3%
41
6.2%
30
5.6%
32
5.4%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
83%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
72%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

UNITED STATES · PL STARS
  1. 1.Chris RichardsCrystal Palace
  2. 2.Antonee RobinsonFulham
  3. 3.Tyler AdamsBournemouth
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA · PL STARS
  1. No Premier League regulars in this squad.
QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives United States 85%, draw 10%, and Bosnia & Herzegovina 5% in the Round of 32United States favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina score prediction

The model leans United States by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 76%.

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 fixture at Santa Clara, kickoff Thu 2 Jul, 00:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (USA #16 vs BIH #65), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Who is the favourite to win United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Round of 32?

United States is the model's favourite at 85%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

United States face Bosnia & Herzegovina at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, kickoff Thursday 2 July at 00:00 UTC.

What's the predicted score for United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The model's predicted scoreline is United States 3-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina (expected goals 3.2 v 1.4). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 76%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

United StatesBosnia & HerzegovinaPick the score →Full bracket →
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