Who will win Australia vs Türkiye?
Australia vs TürkiyeWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Australia 43%, draw 31%, and Türkiye 26%. Australia is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group D fixture on Sunday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Australia vs Türkiye World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Australia 43%, draw 31%, and Türkiye 26% — australia favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Australia vs Türkiye prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Australia 1, Türkiye 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Australia vs Türkiye head to head
Group D fixture at Vancouver, kickoff Sun 14 Jun, 04:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (AUS #27 vs TUR #22), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Australia vs Türkiye line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model picked Australia at 43% — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.
Narrow edge to the favourite
Australia (#27) edge Türkiye (#22) on a combination of ranking and squad depth. 43% to Türkiye's 26%, with 31% on the draw — a narrow-confidence call, not a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Altay BayındırMan Utd
Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores
Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.
Start picking →Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks
Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.
Weekly digest
Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.
One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.
Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.
v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.