QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Austria vs Jordan?

Onside's model gives Austria a 49% win probability (26% draw, Jordan 25%). We publish every prediction before kickoff and grade it after full time. See every graded prediction. Full match breakdown below.
MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP J · MD1

Austria vs JordanWin Probability & Model Prediction

Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 04:00 UTC · Santa Clara

Onside's AI model gives Austria 49%, draw 26%, and Jordan 25%. Austria is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group J fixture on Wednesday.

AUSTRIA WIN
49%
DRAW
26%
JORDAN WIN
25%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.711.17
★ MODE
11
12.6%
21
9.6%
10
8.2%
20
8.2%
00
6.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%

Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Austria vs Jordan World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Austria 49%, draw 26%, and Jordan 25% — austria favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Austria vs Jordan prediction score

Expected scoreline: 21 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Austria 2, Jordan 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.

Austria vs Jordan head to head

Group J fixture at Santa Clara, kickoff Wed 17 Jun, 04:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (AUT #24 vs JOR #63), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.

Austria vs Jordan line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

TRACK THIS
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
FAV AUT · NARROW CONFIDENCE
MODEL RATIONALE

Ranking gap is the story

Austria sit 39 places above Jordan in the FIFA ranking (#24 vs #63) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Austria comes out at 49%, Jordan at 25%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a narrow call rather than a foregone conclusion.

MATCH CONTEXT

How the teams compare

WORLD RANKING
Austria
#24
Jordan
#63
PREMIER LEAGUE PRESENCE
Austria
0
Jordan
0
HOME SOIL
Austria
Jordan
REGION
Austria
UEFA
Jordan
AFC
ONSIDE PREDICTION GAME · FREE TO PLAY

Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores

5 right
1 month
free
10 right
3 months
free
Perfect bracket
12 months
free

Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.

Start picking →
Austria full team page →Jordan full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.

Austria vs Jordan Score Prediction & Win Probability — World Cup 2026 · Onside