Who will win Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Canada vs Bosnia & HerzegovinaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Canada 74%, draw 15%, and Bosnia & Herzegovina 11%. Canada is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group B fixture on Friday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Canada 74%, draw 15%, and Bosnia & Herzegovina 11% — canada favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction score
Expected scoreline: 3–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Canada 3, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head to head
Group B fixture at Toronto, kickoff Fri 12 Jun, 19:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (CAN #30 vs BIH #65), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model favoured Canada — they couldn't separate. Draws count against favourite-wins-only accuracy.
Ranking gap is the story
Canada sit 35 places above Bosnia & Herzegovina in the FIFA ranking (#30 vs #65) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Canada comes out at 74%, Bosnia & Herzegovina at 11%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a strong call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
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