Who will win Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Curaçao vs Ivory CoastWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Curaçao 8%, draw 18%, and Ivory Coast 74%. Ivory Coast is the model favourite (strong confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group E fixture on Thursday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Curaçao 8%, draw 18%, and Ivory Coast 74% — ivory coast favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–2 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Curaçao 1, Ivory Coast 2). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast head to head
Group E fixture at Philadelphia, kickoff Thu 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (CUW #82 vs CIV #34), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model picked Ivory Coast at 74% — they took the result. Adds to the running accuracy score.
Ranking gap is the story
Ivory Coast sit 48 places above Curaçao in the FIFA ranking (#34 vs #82) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Ivory Coast comes out at 74%, Curaçao at 8%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a strong call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Ibrahim SangaréNott'm Forest
- Simon AdingraSunderland
- Amad DialloMan Utd
- Evann GuessandCrystal Palace
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