Who will win Egypt vs Iran?
Egypt vs IranWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Egypt 42%, draw 30%, and Iran 28%. Egypt is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group G fixture on Saturday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Egypt vs Iran World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Egypt 42%, draw 30%, and Iran 28% — egypt favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Egypt vs Iran prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–1 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Egypt 1, Iran 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Egypt vs Iran head to head
Group G fixture at Seattle, kickoff Sat 27 Jun, 03:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (EGY #28 vs IRN #21), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Egypt vs Iran line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Model favoured Egypt — they couldn't separate. Draws count against favourite-wins-only accuracy.
Narrow edge to the favourite
Egypt (#28) edge Iran (#21) on a combination of ranking and squad depth. 42% to Iran's 28%, with 30% on the draw — a narrow-confidence call, not a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Omar MarmoushMan City
- Mohamed SalahLiverpool
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