Who will win New Zealand vs Egypt?
New Zealand vs EgyptWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives New Zealand 23%, draw 27%, and Egypt 50%. Egypt is the model favourite (moderate confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group G fixture on Monday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
New Zealand vs Egypt World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives New Zealand 23%, draw 27%, and Egypt 50% — egypt favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
New Zealand vs Egypt prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–2 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (New Zealand 1, Egypt 2). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
New Zealand vs Egypt head to head
Group G fixture at Vancouver, kickoff Mon 22 Jun, 01:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (NZL #85 vs EGY #28), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
New Zealand vs Egypt line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Ranking gap is the story
Egypt sit 57 places above New Zealand in the FIFA ranking (#28 vs #85) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Egypt comes out at 50%, New Zealand at 23%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a moderate call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Chris WoodNott'm Forest
- Marko StamenićNott'm Forest
- Omar MarmoushMan City
- Mohamed SalahLiverpool
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