Who will win Scotland vs Morocco?
Scotland vs MoroccoWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Scotland 28%, draw 28%, and Morocco 44%. Morocco is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Friday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Scotland vs Morocco World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Scotland 28%, draw 28%, and Morocco 44% — morocco favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Scotland vs Morocco prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–2 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Scotland 1, Morocco 2). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Scotland vs Morocco head to head
Group C fixture at Foxborough, kickoff Fri 19 Jun, 22:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (SCO #43 vs MAR #8), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Scotland vs Morocco line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Ranking gap is the story
Morocco sit 35 places above Scotland in the FIFA ranking (#8 vs #43) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Morocco comes out at 44%, Scotland at 28%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a narrow call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Nathan PattersonEverton
- Aaron HickeyBrentford
- Andrew RobertsonLiverpool
- John McGinnAston Villa
- Ben Gannon-DoakBournemouth
- Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
- Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
- Issa DiopWest Ham
- Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
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