Who will win Uzbekistan vs Colombia?
Uzbekistan vs ColombiaWin Probability & Model Prediction
Onside's AI model gives Uzbekistan 27%, draw 28%, and Colombia 45%. Colombia is the model favourite (narrow confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group K fixture on Thursday.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives Uzbekistan 27%, draw 28%, and Colombia 45% — colombia favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia prediction score
Expected scoreline: 1–2 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Uzbekistan 1, Colombia 2). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia head to head
Group K fixture at Mexico City, kickoff Thu 18 Jun, 02:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (UZB #50 vs COL #13), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
Ranking gap is the story
Colombia sit 37 places above Uzbekistan in the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #50) — a gap of that size is hard for the underdog to close in a one-off match. Colombia comes out at 45%, Uzbekistan at 27%, with the rest on the draw. Treated as a narrow call rather than a foregone conclusion.
How the teams compare
The PL names in each squad
- Abdukodir KhusanovMan City
- Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
- Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace
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