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Japan at the World Cup 2026 — squad, group, fixtures & odds

Japan are competing at the 2026 World Cup in Group F, alongside Netherlands, Sweden, Tunisia. Onside's model gives them 28% to reach the Round of 16 and 0.2% to win the trophy. Full schedule, projected XI, advance scenarios and Premier League players inside.
● GROUP STAGE COMPLETE

When does Japan play next?

Japan have completed their Group F fixtures. Knockout-round opponent depends on other group results — see the live bracket for the projected path.

FIFA #18 · GROUP F · ASIA

Japan

FIFA · #18JPNGROUP FASIA

Japan face an uphill arc in Group F — the model has them as outsiders. Tournament football has produced bigger upsets, but the maths say the work starts at MD1.

ONSIDE AI · TOURNAMENT MODEL v5

CHAMPION PROBABILITY
0.2%
vs 47 OTHER NATIONS
0%17%
JAPAN'S TOURNAMENT JOURNEY
ROUND OF 16
28%
QUARTER-FINAL
9.4%
SEMI-FINAL
3.0%
FINAL
1.0%
CHAMPION
0.2%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

F
Group
3
Group fixtures
4
PL stars

At the first 48-team World Cup, hosted across USA, Canada and Mexico from 11 June to 19 July 2026. Drawn in Group F with Netherlands, Sweden, Tunisia.

THE GROUP

Japan vs the rest of Group F

FIFA ranks at draw time. Top two from the group advance directly to the Round of 32; the eight best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also progress.

ONSIDE INTELLIGENCE · POWERED BY THE ENGINE
AI-MODELLED

Japan's tournament path — the fantasy angle

QUALIFY %
50%
to reach R32
GROUP xP
5
across 3 games
EXPECTED FINISH
#2 in group
WC FANTASY CAPTAIN(C)
Wataru Endo
Liverpool
Highest projected impact in this squad
LIKELY SCORERGOAL
Wataru Endo
Liverpool
Top attacking PL contributor
DIFFERENTIALDIFF
Daichi Kamada
Crystal Palace
Lower-owned, upside play
TOP 3 CONTRIBUTORS · PROJECTED PTS/90
1
Wataru Endo
5.6
2
Takehiro Tomiyasu
5.6
3
Daichi Kamada
5.0
VERDICTLive group — ~50% to advance. Wataru Endo the likely captaincy lever.
SHARE JAPAN'S TOURNAMENT
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
GROUP RIVAL H2H · LIFETIME WC

Japan's ledger vs Group F

All-time World Cup meetings against this group's other three nations. The history that walks onto the pitch.

vs Netherlands
FIFA #7 · Group F
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Sweden
FIFA #38 · Group F
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
vs Tunisia
FIFA #44 · Group F
NEVER MET
0W0D0L
GF 0GA 0GD 0
No prior World Cup meetings in our 2002-2022 window. First meeting could come at MD1.
FULL COMPARISON →
FIXTURE DIFFICULTY HEATMAP
CELL COLOUR = RANK DELTA

Japan's 3 group matches at a glance

Difficulty by pre-tournament FIFA rank delta. Acid means Japan is the favourite; amber is a coin-toss; red means the underdog. Switches to actual-result colour once each match is played.

MD1A
Netherlands
FIFA #7
-11 rank delta
Sun 14 Jun
MD2A
Tunisia
FIFA #44
+26 rank delta
Sun 21 Jun
MD3H
Sweden
FIFA #38
+20 rank delta
Thu 25 Jun
2
Easy
1
Toss
0
Hard

Japan is FIFA #18. Group avg rank is #27 9 places stronger than the group mean.

FIXTURES

Japan's group-stage matches

MDDateUTCUKOpponent
1Sun 14 Jun20:0021:00
2Sun 21 Jun04:0005:00
3Thu 25 Jun23:0000:00
THE PL × WC FUNNEL

4 Premier League players representing Japan

Track these names — their tournament minutes shape your FPL 2026/27 GW1 captaincy shortlist. 1 from Arsenal alone.

Arsenal
1
Takehiro Tomiyasu
Crystal Palace
1
Daichi Kamada
Leeds
1
Ao Tanaka
Liverpool
1
Wataru Endo

Source: Premier League official article (29 May 2026). ~ marks players inferred from secondary reporting where the squad wasn't formally announced.

FPL ANGLE

Why Japan's tournament matters for FPL 2026/27

Japan's 4 PL players will play 3 group matches before the FPL deadline locks. Watch for minutes, form, and tactical fit at international level — the strongest available signal before pre-season friendlies start.

WORLD CUP FANTASY · JAPAN

Pick Japan stars in FIFA World Cup Fantasy

Use the Onside captain / differential / value picks to assemble a Japan-heavy XI, then build it in the official FIFA game. In FIFA Fantasy, open the player list and filter by country = Japan to surface every eligible name.

Onside is not affiliated with FIFA. We publish picks; you play them in the official game.

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