QUICK ANSWER

Can Japan reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Onside's model gives Japan a 84% chance to reach the new Round of 32 from Group F. Japan haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 84% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group F fixtures.
★ GROUP F · LIVE MODEL · UPDATED AFTER EVERY MATCH

Can Japan reach the Round of 32?

% TO R32
84%
% TO LIFT TROPHY
0.5%
● WHAT JAPAN NEED

Japan haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 84% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group F fixtures.

JAPAN'S REMAINING GROUP GAMES
● DEEPER ON JAPAN
JAPAN FAQ
+Can Japan qualify from Group F at the 2026 World Cup?

Onside's model gives Japan a 84% chance to reach the Round of 32 from Group F. Japan haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 84% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group F fixtures.

+What does Japan need to reach the World Cup 2026 knockouts?

Japan haven't started their group yet. The model gives them 84% to reach the Round of 32 across their three Group F fixtures.

+When does Japan play next at the World Cup 2026?

Japan's next match is Netherlands on Sunday 14 June at 20:00 UTC in Arlington.

+Can Japan win the World Cup 2026?

Onside's model gives Japan a 0.5% chance to lift the trophy. Full champion-pick reasoning at /world-cup-2026/can-x-win/jpn.

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Can Japan Reach the World Cup 2026 Knockouts? Live Model % · Onside