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Is Mateo Kovačić in the World Cup 2026?

Yes — Mateo Kovačić is in Croatia's 26-man World Cup 2026 squad and plays his club football for Man City in the Premier League. Croatia are in Group L; their next match is against England. Onside's model gives Croatia a 57% chance to reach the Round of 16 and 3.1% to win the tournament.
● GROUP STAGE COMPLETE

Is Mateo Kovačić playing today?

Croatia have completed their Group L fixtures. Knockout-round opponent depends on other group results — see the live bracket for the projected path.

Predicted bracket → Croatia advance scenarios →
CROATIA · GROUP L · MAN CITY

Mateo Kovačić

TOP-100 · #47CROATIAPL · MAN CITY

“Mateo Kovačić carries Croatia's World Cup hopes through Group L — model projects 5.6 pts-per-90 across the three group-stage fixtures.”

ONSIDE AI · MODEL v5

PROJ PPG · MODEL
5.6
vs ALL OUTFIELDS IN TOP-100
0.07.0
HOW FAR DOES KOVAČIĆ GO?
ROUND OF 16
57%
QUARTER-FINAL
33%
SEMI-FINAL
17%
FINAL
7.8%
CHAMPION
3.1%

Cumulative probabilities · Updated each match · 60-min refresh

PHOTO · WIKIMEDIA COMMONS

TOURNAMENT STATS · UPDATES EVERY MATCH

Live stat sheet

Matches
—
pre-debut
Minutes
—
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
—
outfield
xG
—
pre-debut
Proj xP/90
5.6
model
Fantasy pts
0
Onside calc

Stats refresh after every match (60s ISR + football-data 15s upstream cache). xG is approximated until shot-level data ships; clean sheets currently track GKs only.

ONSIDE MODEL · TOURNAMENT IMPACT MAP

Kovačić's match-by-match expected output

Per-match expected points combine the model's win probability for Croatia, projected per-90 output, and assumed minutes share. Cells dim as the journey grows uncertain.

MD 117 Jun
vs eng
27%
1.3EXP PTS
MD 223 Jun
vs pan
66%
3.1EXP PTS
MD 327 Jun
vs gha
92%
4.4EXP PTS
R16
Round of 16
57%
2.6EXP PTS
QF
Quarter-final
33%
1.5EXP PTS
SF
Semi-final
17%
0.7EXP PTS
FINAL
Final
8%
0.3EXP PTS

Knockout cells dashed to signal contingency · Click any group cell to open the prediction.

ONSIDE RADAR · WC 2026 MODEL

Mateo Kovačić — the player profile

Croatia #11 · Man City · PL regular

5-AXIS PROFILE
ATTACK62PLAYMAKING67TACTICAL82PHYSICAL80DEFENDING64
Mateo KovačićAverage pro · 75
ONSIDE MODEL · WC 2026 PROJECTION
EXP. GOALS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
EXP. ASSISTS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
xG / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
xA / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
MINUTES SHARE
85%
PL regular · high start prob
POSITION
—
Man City

Ratings synthesised by Onside's model from team rank + position cohort + recent fixtures. Refreshed every 60 minutes.

Mateo Kovačić's group-stage fixtures

3 MATCHES · MODEL WIN-PROBABILITIES SHOWN

vs England (away)
MD1 · Wed 17 Jun · 20:00 UTC · Arlington
27%/26%/47%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Panama (away)
MD2 · Tue 23 Jun · 23:00 UTC · Foxborough
66%/19%/15%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE
vs Ghana (home)
MD3 · Sat 27 Jun · 21:00 UTC · Philadelphia
92%/5%/3%
WIN · DRAW · LOSE

Other Croatia stars at WC 2026

PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD

Joško Gvardiol
Man City
Luka Vušković
Spurs

More World Cup 2026

Full Croatia pageCroatia's chances at the World CupGolden Boot boardFantasy captainsAll predictions
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Is Mateo Kovačić in the World Cup 2026? Croatia Squad, Fixtures & Fantasy Value · Onside