QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Brazil vs Morocco?

Onside's model gives Brazil a 38% win probability (28% draw, Morocco 34%). We publish every prediction before kickoff and grade it after full time. See every graded prediction. Full match breakdown below.
MODEL PREDICTION · GROUP C · MD1

Brazil vs MoroccoWin Probability & Model Prediction

Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 22:00 UTC · East Rutherford

Onside's AI model gives Brazil 38%, draw 28%, and Morocco 34%. Brazil is the model favourite (level confidence) for this World Cup 2026 Group C fixture on Saturday.

BRAZIL WIN
38%
DRAW
28%
MOROCCO WIN
34%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.401.31
★ MODE
11
13.6%
21
8.5%
00
8.1%
12
8.0%
10
7.8%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%

Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Brazil vs Morocco World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Brazil 38%, draw 28%, and Morocco 34% — brazil favoured. Calibrated against the rolling tournament hit-rate; every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Brazil vs Morocco prediction score

Expected scoreline: 11 — rounded from the bivariate-Poisson expected goals (Brazil 1, Morocco 1). The full top-five most-likely scorelines are on this page below.

Brazil vs Morocco head to head

Group C fixture at East Rutherford, kickoff Sat 13 Jun, 22:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (BRA #6 vs MAR #8), confederation, and live MD1+ form learned from this tournament's results.

Brazil vs Morocco line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

TRACK THIS
SHAREXRedditWhatsApp
FAV BRA · LEVEL CONFIDENCEUPSET WATCH
MODEL RATIONALE

Region pedigree separates them

Brazil (CONMEBOL) and Morocco (CAF) have similar FIFA ranks, but recent World Cups have been tougher for sides outside the European and South American confederations to beat top-band opposition in knockout matches. Brazil sit at 38%, Morocco at 34%.

MATCH CONTEXT

How the teams compare

WORLD RANKING
Brazil
#6
Morocco
#8
PREMIER LEAGUE PRESENCE
Brazil
8
Morocco
4
HOME SOIL
Brazil
Morocco
REGION
Brazil
CONMEBOL
Morocco
CAF
PREMIER LEAGUE THREAD

The PL names in each squad

Brazil8 PL
  • Alisson BeckerLiverpool
  • Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal
  • Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
  • CasemiroMan Utd
  • Matheus CunhaMan Utd
  • Igor ThiagoBrentford
  • Gabriel MartinelliArsenal
  • RayanBournemouth
Morocco4 PL
  • Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
  • Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
  • Issa DiopWest Ham
  • Chemsdine TalbiSunderland
ONSIDE PREDICTION GAME · FREE TO PLAY

Win 12 months of premium predictions FREE by picking match scores

5 right
1 month
free
10 right
3 months
free
Perfect bracket
12 months
free

Pick scorelines for upcoming fixtures. Every correct call moves you up the ladder. No payment, no card. Just predictions.

Start picking →
Brazil full team page →Morocco full team page →Compare radar →All predictions →
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS

Get the World Cup brief in your inbox — plus early FPL 2026/27 picks

Match-by-match predictions, captain picks for World Cup Fantasy, likely scorers, and the first FPL 2026/27 differentials to watch. Same engine that powers our Premier League tools, pointed at the world's biggest pre-season.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

SAME ENGINE · POINTED AT FPL

Tracking the World Cup? Use the same engine for FPL 2026/27.

v5 depth-2 GBT stacker · 51k+ OOS predictions · MAE 0.86. Captain picks, MILP squad optimiser, AI Coach, set-piece intel — the production Premier League tools.

Brazil vs Morocco Score Prediction & Win Probability — World Cup 2026 · Onside