Can Tunisia win the World Cup 2026?
UNLIKELY — tournament far too open. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Tunisia a 0.0% champion probability — ranked #38 of 48 nations. Tunisia is a long-shot (FIFA #44, 1 Premier League players in the squad).
Can Tunisia win the World Cup 2026?
Onside's model puts Tunisia's championship probability at 0.0% — a heavy outsider, ranked 38th of 48. Updated live as group-stage and knockout results land; see the full board on the winner page.
Tunisia World Cup 2026 chances
From 0.0% now, Tunisia's number moves with every match — a group-stage upset re-shrinks it; a clean win against an in-form opponent expands it. Onside re-runs a 10,000-simulation Monte Carlo on every result so the chance number you see here is the most current model snapshot, not a pre-tournament freeze.
Tunisia's route to the final
Group stage first, then a six-game knockout to lift the trophy. Onside's knockout simulator shows the most likely opponent at each round; the bracket below traces the full Monte Carlo path for Tunisia.
Tunisia's path to the final
Tunisia's group fixtures
3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY
Tunisia vs the field
TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS
Tunisia's Premier League players
1 PL PLAYERS IN THE SQUAD
In one line
Tunisia is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 0.0% champion probability, ranking them #38 of 48 nations. They play in Group F and have 1 Premier League players in their squad. Group-stage survival itself is uncertain (4.9% R16).
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